Western Mining(SH:601168) China Post Securities·2025-08-01 06:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [2][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 31.619 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.59%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.869 billion yuan, up 15.35% year-on-year [4]. - The increase in performance is primarily attributed to an 8% rise in copper production and an 11% increase in copper prices compared to the previous year [4]. - The company’s copper production for H1 2025 was 91,800 tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.65%, with significant contributions from various mines [5]. - The report highlights improvements in recovery rates for various minerals, indicating operational efficiency [5]. - The smelting capacity is gradually increasing, with significant year-on-year growth in production for copper, lead, and zinc [6]. - The company’s subsidiary, Yulong Copper Industry, achieved a net profit of 3.491 billion yuan, contributing significantly to the overall profitability [6]. - Future growth is supported by ongoing projects and expansions, including the approval of the Yulong Copper Mine Phase III, which is expected to increase production capacity significantly [7][9]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 56.134 billion yuan, 59.120 billion yuan, and 63.471 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.21%, 5.32%, and 7.36% [9][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 3.857 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 31.56% [11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.62 yuan for 2025, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 10.31, 9.71, and 9.01 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [9][11].