STI(SZ:300416) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-04 09:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][47][48] Core Views - The company has shown robust growth in the first half of 2025, with revenue and net profit increasing by 8.09% and 14.18% respectively, driven by strong performance in integrated circuit testing and emerging field services [1][3] - The company is expected to benefit from the domestic high-end testing equipment localization trend and the rigid demand in sectors such as new energy vehicles, integrated circuits, and aerospace [3][47] - The estimated reasonable valuation range for the company is between 18.98 and 21.09 yuan, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 2.89, 3.58, and 4.34 billion yuan respectively [3][46][47] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue and net profit were 991 million and 117 million yuan, with gross and net profit margins at 41.88% and 13.51% respectively [1] - For Q2 2025, revenue and net profit reached 561 million and 76 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 18.39% and 26.14% [1] - The company’s revenue from testing equipment, environmental and reliability testing services, and integrated circuit verification and analysis services for the first half of 2025 were 310 million, 487 million, and 155 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 6.32%, 5.75%, and 21.01% [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 22.95 billion, 25.96 billion, and 29.24 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 13.34%, 13.11%, and 12.65% [21][30] - The forecasted net profits for the same period are 2.89 billion, 3.58 billion, and 4.34 billion yuan, with growth rates of 25.81%, 23.88%, and 21.42% [30][46] Valuation Metrics - The company’s estimated PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 29, 23, and 19 respectively [3][46] - The estimated PB ratio for 2025 is 2.9, which is below the average of comparable companies [40][48] - The company’s historical PE valuation has fluctuated, with a current level above 29, indicating potential for further valuation recovery [43][45]