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德翔海运(02510):业绩略超预期,关注四季度旺季情况

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance slightly exceeded expectations, with a projected net profit of approximately $180-200 million for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 220%-225% compared to $56 million in the same period of 2024 [9] - The increase in performance is attributed to the rise in freight rates due to market conditions and the contribution of new capacity delivered in 2024 [9] - The report highlights strong freight performance in Southeast Asia, with significant year-on-year growth in freight rates and volumes [9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections (in million USD): - 2023: 875 - 2024: 1,340 - 2025E: 1,351 - 2026E: 1,299 - 2027E: 1,539 - Year-on-year growth rates: - 2023: -64% - 2024: 53% - 2025E: 0.8% - 2026E: -4% - 2027E: 19% [8] - Net profit projections (in million USD): - 2023: 21 - 2024: 366 - 2025E: 378 - 2026E: 334 - 2027E: 449 - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit: - 2023: -98% - 2024: 1,667% - 2025E: 3% - 2026E: -12% - 2027E: 34% [8] - The company maintains a low PE ratio of 4.8, significantly below comparable companies, supporting the "Buy" rating [9][10]