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锅圈(02517):2025年中报业绩点评:规模效应下利润超预期,单店改善有延续性

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.24 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 183 million yuan, up 113.2% year-on-year [8] - The improvement in single-store revenue continues, with a net increase of 270 rural stores and a slight decrease in urban stores [8] - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 22.1%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 1.7 percentage points, but an improvement from the previous half [8] - The company is expected to benefit from scale effects and an increase in self-produced products, which will help stabilize gross margins [8] - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 72.9 billion, 83.9 billion, and 95.5 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 4.2 billion, 5.0 billion, and 5.8 billion yuan [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 6.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 15.07% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 239.64 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.23% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.15 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.39 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 5.16 billion yuan by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 32.30% [9]