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藏格矿业(000408):2025H1点评:巨龙铜业贡献主要业绩,半年报慷慨分红重视股东回报

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.678 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.74%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.8 billion yuan, an increase of 38.80% [2][6] - The significant performance contribution comes from Jilong Copper Industry, which achieved a copper production of 92,800 tons and a revenue of 7.562 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.166 billion yuan [3] - The average selling price of potassium chloride increased by 25.57% year-on-year to 2,845 yuan per ton, while the average sales cost decreased by 7.36% to 996 yuan per ton, resulting in a revenue of 1.399 billion yuan from potassium chloride, a year-on-year increase of 24.60% [3] - The lithium carbonate sector is currently in a bottoming phase, with average selling prices fluctuating between 60,000 to 80,000 yuan per ton, leading to a revenue of 267 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 57.90% [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit of 1.8 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a cash dividend payout of 1.569 billion yuan, representing 87.14% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [4][6] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 2.03, 2.55, and 3.23 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 24, 19, and 15 [4] Business Segments - Jilong Copper Industry's investment income increased by 4.09 billion yuan, a growth of 47.82% year-on-year, contributing significantly to the company's overall performance [3] - The potassium chloride business showed strong growth due to favorable market conditions, while the lithium carbonate segment faced challenges due to supply-demand mismatches [3][4]