CATL(SZ:300750) Guoyuan Securities·2025-08-05 04:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the renewable energy sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry based on current trends and future potential [7]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the renewable energy sector is experiencing a significant policy push, with a focus on reducing competition and enhancing price regulation within the supply chain, particularly in the silicon material segment [4]. - The report emphasizes that the photovoltaic industry is at the bottom of its cycle, and future policy strength will be a key variable influencing industry trends. It anticipates a transition to high-quality development characterized by technological upgrades and market optimization [4]. - The wind power sector is noted for its reasonable supply-demand structure and strong profitability among companies, with a positive outlook for offshore wind power in 2025 [4]. Weekly Market Review - From July 28 to August 1, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.94%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.58% and 0.74%, respectively. The Shenwan Electric Power Equipment Index decreased by 2.62%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 0.87 percentage points [10][12]. - Within sub-sectors, photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment experienced changes of -1.32%, +1.86%, -4.69%, and -1.39%, respectively [10][14]. Key Sector Tracking - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) reported a total revenue of 178.9 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.27%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 30.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 33.33% increase [3][20]. - The report indicates that CATL's performance is driven by both its power battery and energy storage battery businesses, with energy storage battery system revenue at 28.4 billion yuan, down 1.47% year-on-year, and power battery system revenue at 131.57 billion yuan, up 16.80% year-on-year [3][20]. Investment Recommendations - For the photovoltaic sector, the report suggests focusing on silicon materials, glass, and battery segments that have undergone sufficient corrections and show clear alpha potential. Companies to watch include Aiko Solar, Flat Glass Group, GCL-Poly Energy, and Junda Technology [4]. - In the wind power sector, the report recommends attention to companies like Goldwind Technology and Yunda Co., as well as cable manufacturers such as Orient Cable and Zhongtian Technology, given the expected growth in offshore wind projects [4]. - The report also highlights the rapid growth of the electric vehicle supply chain in China, suggesting a focus on battery and structural components benefiting from low upstream raw material prices, with companies like CATL and EVE Energy being key players [5].