CSG Energy(SZ:003035) AVIC Securities·2025-08-05 08:41Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company is a leading energy-saving service provider, primarily focused on industrial and building energy efficiency, with a stable growth trajectory in its core business [1][14]. - The energy-saving industry is expected to experience significant growth, with the market size projected to reach approximately 1 trillion yuan by 2025 and 1.5 trillion yuan by 2035 [2][29]. - The company has a strong competitive advantage due to its extensive project experience and is actively pursuing business upgrades to enhance its service offerings [3][50]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company specializes in energy-saving services, providing comprehensive solutions for energy diagnosis, design, renovation, and operation maintenance [14]. - It is backed by the Southern Power Grid, which holds about 40.4% of its shares [14]. 2. Industry Landscape - The energy-saving service industry is characterized by high capital intensity, strong policy guidance, and significant technological reliance [2]. - The industry is currently in a growth phase, with a projected market size of around 1 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by national policies and increasing energy efficiency awareness [29][31]. 3. Business Strategy and Competitive Advantage - The company has accumulated substantial project experience and maintains a strong market presence, particularly in the Southern region of China [3][50]. - It plans to invest over 3 billion yuan in external projects in 2025, with a consistent annual growth rate of over 20% in fixed assets since 2023 [3][50]. 4. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company achieved revenue of 3.2 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, but reported a net loss due to underperforming biomass assets [1][20]. - Excluding the impact of low-efficiency assets, the net profit for 2024 would have been approximately 540 million yuan [20]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 480 million yuan, 590 million yuan, and 720 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.13, 0.16, and 0.19 yuan [3][10].