Q2债基表现强势规模回升，纯债基金久期创下新高

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q2 2025, the number of newly - issued bond funds increased quarter - on - quarter, and the scale of bond - type funds reached a record high, with index bond funds having the fastest scale growth rate. The weighted average net value of bond - type funds rose by 1.09%, and their performance recovered significantly compared to Q1. The performance of secondary bond funds was the best [2]. - In Q2 2025, public funds increased their holdings of both stocks and bonds, but the allocation ratios decreased, while the cash allocation ratio increased. Different types of bond funds had different strategies in terms of bond type combination, leverage, and duration [2]. - The performance of outstanding bond funds in Q2 benefited from band - trading operations, and hybrid bond funds obtained excess returns through equity positions. In Q3, the bond market is expected to remain oscillating and relatively strong, and the equity market has structural opportunities. Convertible bond funds maintain a relatively high equity position, and convertible bond valuations are expected to oscillate in a moderately high range [3]. 3. Summaries According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Market Overview: Bond Fund Scale Reached a New High in Q2, and Index Bond Funds Had the Fastest Quarter - on - Quarter Scale Growth Rate 3.1.1 The Number of Newly - Issued Bond Funds Increased Quarter - on - Quarter in Q2, but the Newly - Issued Bond Fund Shares Remained at a Historically Low Level - In Q2 2025, the number of newly - issued funds was 375, and the number of newly - issued bond funds increased by 16 to 71, accounting for a slight increase in the proportion of all newly - issued products. The number of public funds reached 12,907, with bond funds accounting for 29.92%, a decrease of 0.30 pct compared to Q1 [5]. - In Q2 2025, the newly - issued bond funds were 128.8 billion shares, showing a quarter - on - quarter recovery but still at the lowest level in the same period since 2018, which may be related to factors such as increased bond market volatility, relatively strong performance of the equity market, and stricter regulatory focus on equity - type products [6]. 3.1.2 Bond Fund Scale Reached a New High in Q2, and Index Bond Funds Had the Fastest Quarter - on - Quarter Growth Rate - In Q2 2025, the scale of bond - type funds increased by 0.86 trillion to 10.91 trillion quarter - on - quarter, and the scale of money market funds also increased quarter - on - quarter, both reaching record highs. The total scale of public funds at the end of Q2 was 33.58 trillion, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 2.1 trillion, with an increase rate of 6.67% [11]. - Among the main secondary classifications of bond - type funds, index bond funds had the fastest scale growth rate, with a quarter - on - quarter increase of 25.80%. The scale growth rates of medium - and long - term pure bond funds and short - term pure bond funds also turned from negative to positive [16]. 3.2 Portfolio Management: Institutions Increased Leverage and Extended Duration, and the Net Values of All Types of Bond Funds Rose 3.2.1 The Bond Market Oscillated and Strengthened, and the Returns of Bond Funds Recovered Significantly Compared to Q1, with Secondary Bond Funds Performing the Best - In Q2 2025, the domestic long - term interest rate oscillated narrowly after a rapid decline at the beginning of the quarter, but there were structural market conditions for credit bonds and non - active ultra - long - term bonds. The weighted average net value of bond - type funds rose by 1.09%, and the returns of all types of bond funds recovered significantly compared to Q1 [22]. - The stock market showed a trend of first declining and then rising in the second quarter, and the Shanghai Composite Index reached above 3400 points at the end of the quarter. Secondary bond funds and partial - debt hybrid funds performed better than pure - bond products, with their net values rising by 1.43% and 1.25% on average respectively [23]. 3.2.2 Public Bond Funds Significantly Increased Their Bond Holdings in Q2, and the Cash Allocation Ratio of Money Market Funds Increased Significantly - In Q2 2025, public funds increased their holdings of both stocks and bonds, but the allocation ratios decreased, while the cash allocation ratio increased. Open - ended bond - type funds significantly increased their bond allocation by 1098.7 billion, with the proportion rising by 0.27 pct to 96.46%. Money market funds increased their bond holdings by 378.7 billion, but the proportion decreased by 2.47 pct to 54.06%, and the cash - holding ratio increased significantly [30][31]. - Further细分来看, in Q2 2025, the bond allocation ratios of pure - bond funds and hybrid bond funds both increased [32]. 3.2.3 Medium - and Long - Term Pure Bond Funds Increased Their Credit Bond Holdings, and Hybrid Bond Funds Reduced Their Convertible Bond Holdings Again - In terms of bond type combination, short - term pure bond funds continued to increase their interest - rate bond holdings, medium - and long - term pure bond funds increased their credit bond holdings, and hybrid bond funds increased their interest - rate bond holdings and reduced their credit bond and convertible bond holdings [36]. 3.2.4 Bond Funds Increased Leverage and Extended Duration in Q2, and the Duration of Pure - Bond Funds Reached a Record High - In Q2, the leverage ratios of pure - bond funds and hybrid bond funds both increased. The leverage ratio of short - term pure bond funds increased by 2.65 pct to 114.46%, and that of medium - and long - term pure bond funds increased by 0.88 pct to 122.97%. The leverage ratio of hybrid bond funds increased by 2.95 pct to 116.66% [41]. - All types of bond funds extended their durations to varying degrees. The weighted duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds was 3.54 years, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 0.61 years; that of short - term pure bond funds was 1.98 years, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 0.50 years; and that of hybrid bond funds was 4.81 years, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 1.08 years [42]. - The proportion of low - grade credit bond holdings in pure - bond funds decreased, while that in hybrid bond funds increased [43]. 3.2.5 Affected by Market Contraction, Public Funds Continued to Reduce Their Convertible Bond Holdings in Q2, and the Holdings of Medium - and Low - Grade Convertible Bonds Increased Passively - In Q2 2025, the convertible bond holdings of public funds decreased, and the convertible bond allocation ratios of stock - type funds, bond - type funds, and hybrid funds all decreased quarter - on - quarter [51]. - In terms of credit rating, affected by the early redemption of some AAA - rated bank convertible bonds, the convertible bond holdings of public funds in the whole market were passively concentrated in medium - and low - grade bonds. In terms of industry, public funds significantly increased their holdings in convertible bond sectors such as social services and non - banking finance [52][53]. 3.2.6 Both Financial and Non - financial Institutions Reduced Their Convertible Bond Holdings in Q2, but General Securities Firms Slightly Increased Their Holdings - In Q2 2025, the convertible bond stock scale decreased by 5.81% quarter - on - quarter to 663.55 billion. The convertible bond holdings of financial and non - financial institutions both decreased. Among financial institutions, general public funds, general insurance funds, and general foreign capital reduced their holdings, while general securities firms and other financial institutions increased their holdings. The enthusiasm of non - financial institutions to participate in convertible bonds also decreased [58]. 3.3 Institutional Views: There Is More Room for the Equity Market in Q3, and Attention Should Be Paid to Structural Opportunities Such as Technological Self - Reliance and Control 3.3.1 Outstanding Bond Funds in Q2 Benefited from Band - Trading Operations, and Hybrid Bond Funds Obtained Excess Returns through Equity Positions - In Q2 2025, interest - rate bond band - trading operations and credit spread compression were important sources of excess returns. Some outstanding pure - bond and hybrid bond - type funds used a dumbbell - shaped holding structure to flexibly adjust the portfolio duration and actively participate in band - trading opportunities to obtain excess returns. Hybrid bond funds focused on sectors such as banks, innovative drugs, and technology, and increased their positions after the market adjustment in April [64][65]. 3.3.2 Most Institutions Emphasized That the Bond Market Will Remain Oscillating and Relatively Strong in Q3, and the Equity Market Has Structural Opportunities - Outstanding pure - bond funds generally emphasized that the fundamental environment is still favorable for the bond market, and the capital market is likely to remain loose. It is expected that the bond market will remain oscillating and relatively strong in the third quarter, but the room for a further significant decline in long - term interest rates is limited [3]. - Most outstanding funds are optimistic about the equity market. The stock market will generally benefit from the low - interest - rate environment, risk - preference repair, and technological industry trends, and there are structural opportunities. Attention should be paid to industries related to new - quality productivity such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, high - end equipment, new energy, new materials, and military industry [3]. 3.3.3 Convertible Bond Funds Maintain a Relatively High Equity Position, and Convertible Bond Valuations Are Expected to Oscillate in a Moderately High Range - Most outstanding convertible bond funds maintained a relatively high equity position after the market adjustment and mainly explored structural opportunities in directions such as technological self - reliance and control, new consumption, innovative drugs, and small - and medium - cap convertible bonds [3]. - Most outstanding convertible bond funds believe that the pattern of convertible bond valuations being easy to rise and difficult to fall may continue, and it is expected that convertible bond valuations will still oscillate in a moderately high range. The key lies in grasping the structural opportunities in the stock market [3].