CATL(SZ:300750) Huachuang Securities·2025-08-07 05:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 363.69 CNY [2][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 178.9 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 30.5 billion CNY, up 33% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 27.2 billion CNY, growing by 36% year-on-year [2][8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2024A: 362,013 million CNY - 2025E: 452,472 million CNY (25% growth) - 2026E: 534,949 million CNY (18.2% growth) - 2027E: 629,480 million CNY (17.7% growth) [4] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2024A: 50,745 million CNY - 2025E: 66,327 million CNY (30.7% growth) - 2026E: 79,045 million CNY (19.2% growth) - 2027E: 92,083 million CNY (16.5% growth) [4] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024A: 11.13 CNY - 2025E: 14.55 CNY - 2026E: 17.34 CNY - 2027E: 20.20 CNY [4] - Valuation Ratios: - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are projected at 18, 15, and 13 respectively [4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company achieved a battery system production of 310 GWh in the first half of 2025, with a capacity utilization rate of 89.86%. The total output of power batteries and energy storage batteries reached nearly 150 GWh, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 30% [8]. - The company continues to lead the global market with a 38.1% share in power battery usage from January to May 2025, marking a 0.6 percentage point increase year-on-year [8]. - The company is actively enhancing its battery ecosystem, with over 400 battery swap stations for passenger vehicles established by the end of July 2025, aiming for a total of 1,000 stations by year-end [8]. Innovation and Product Development - The company has launched several innovative products, including the second-generation supercharging battery and sodium-ion batteries, demonstrating strong R&D capabilities [8]. - In the solid-state battery technology sector, the company is making significant investments, with expectations for small-scale production by 2027 [8].