Changshu Bank(SH:601128) Huachuang Securities·2025-08-08 06:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Changshu Bank, with a target price of 9.59 CNY, compared to the current price of 7.87 CNY [2][7]. Core Views - Changshu Bank's performance remains strong, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 10.10% to 6.062 billion CNY and a net profit growth of 13.51% to 1.969 billion CNY in the first half of 2025 [2][6]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio of 489.53% [2][6]. - The bank has initiated a mid-term dividend with a payout ratio of 25.3%, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [2][6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected to reach 12.028 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.20% [8]. - Net profit for 2025 is estimated at 4.320 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 13.30% [8]. - The bank's total assets are expected to grow to 406.872 billion CNY by 2025, with a loan total of 255.314 billion CNY [9][12]. Asset Quality Summary - The non-performing loan ratio is projected to remain stable at 0.77% for 2025, with a provision coverage ratio expected to decrease to 441.60% [10][11]. - The bank's credit impairment losses are anticipated to increase by 11.2% to 1.494 billion CNY [6][10]. Dividend and Capital Management - The bank has announced a cash dividend of 0.15 CNY per share, totaling 4.97 billion CNY, which represents 25.27% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [6][7]. - The bank's capital management strategy includes a potential redemption of convertible bonds, which could support capital replenishment and facilitate healthy credit issuance [6][7].