YUM CHINA(US:YUMC) Guosen International·2025-08-08 06:56Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.69%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 0.55%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 0.26% [2] - The total market turnover increased to HKD 245.7 billion, with the short-selling amount on the main board at HKD 17.795 billion, accounting for 14.47% of the total trading volume [2] - Southbound trading saw a net inflow of HKD 661 million, a significant decrease compared to previous levels [2] Group 2: Northbound Trading Insights - On August 7, the northbound trading volume reached HKD 221.015 billion, representing 12.11% of the total market turnover [3] - Major stocks in the northbound trading included Kweichow Moutai, Industrial Fulian, and Lanke Technology, with transaction amounts of HKD 2.227 billion, HKD 1.650 billion, and HKD 1.520 billion respectively [3] Group 3: Real Estate Sector Performance - The real estate sector showed improvement in July sales data due to a low base effect from the previous year, with total bond financing in the real estate industry reaching CNY 71.39 billion, a year-on-year increase of 90.3% [3] - Notable stock performances included Yuexiu Property up by 3.04%, Longfor Group up by 3.26%, and China Overseas Land & Investment up by 3.08% [3] Group 4: Logistics Sector Trends - The logistics sector experienced a broad increase in stock prices due to a rise in express delivery base prices in Guangdong and the upcoming peak season in September, which is expected to stabilize prices [4] - Key performers in this sector included ZTO Express up by 4.15% and JD Logistics up by 3.38% [4] Group 5: Company-Specific Analysis - Yum China - Yum China reported a 4% year-on-year increase in total revenue for Q2 2025, reaching USD 2.8 billion, with system sales also up by 4% [7] - The operating profit increased by 14% to USD 304 million, and net profit rose by 1% to USD 215 million, driven by improved efficiency and a rise in delivery revenue [8] - KFC's same-store sales grew by 1%, with total revenue reaching USD 2.09 billion, while Pizza Hut's same-store sales increased by 2% [9][10] Group 6: Future Outlook for Yum China - The company maintains a strong competitive advantage and brand influence in the fast-food sector, with projected net profits of USD 940 million, USD 1.02 billion, and USD 1.05 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11] - The expected EPS for the same years is HKD 20.1, HKD 21.6, and HKD 22.2 [11]