IFBH(06603):椰子水行业高增势能延续,龙头优势助力前行

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The coconut water industry continues to show high growth potential, with the leading company's advantages supporting its progress [1][3] - The market for coconut water is expected to maintain a high level of prosperity, with significant room for improvement in its structure [3][22] - The company, IFBH, is positioned as a leader in the domestic coconut water industry, benefiting from favorable market conditions and a stable supply chain [3][22] Summary by Sections 1. Coconut Water Industry Growth - The coconut water industry is characterized by a clear division of labor in its supply chain, with raw material properties determining the stability of the upstream supply chain [2][5] - The market is experiencing an influx of participants, leading to ongoing price exploration and competition [36] 2. IFBH: Industry Leader - IFBH has established a strong presence in the Chinese market, leveraging its stable coconut water supply chain [3][22] - The company effectively controls its brand and products while allowing agents to manage market distribution [3][22] 3. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of $0.43 billion, $0.56 billion, and $0.7 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +29.5%, +28.77%, and +25.12% [3][22] 4. Market Dynamics - The coconut water market in China is projected to grow from $1.02 billion in 2019 to $10.93 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 60.8% [18][22] - The company’s main revenue source is coconut water, which accounted for 95.6% of total revenue in 2024, with significant contributions from the mainland Chinese market [63][69] 5. Competitive Advantages - IFBH has a strong supply chain control, with General Beverage as its primary supplier, ensuring high-quality raw materials [80][82] - The company has received multiple awards for its products, enhancing its brand reputation in the market [86]