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烽火通信(600498):光通信为基,算力服务作为新增长引擎未来可期

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leader in the optical communication industry, leveraging its comprehensive product offerings and technological advancements to capture growth opportunities in both optical communication and computing services [1][2][3]. - The growth in demand for data driven by artificial intelligence and big data is expected to significantly boost the company's server business, particularly in the context of China's "East Data West Computing" strategy [3][4]. - The company has a strong focus on research and development, continuously innovating to enhance its product matrix and maintain its competitive edge in the market [4][34]. Summary by Sections Technology + Industry, Layout of Optical Communication and Computing Services - The company is the only global entity integrating "optical communication systems, optical fibers and cables, and optoelectronic devices," with a complete product range serving over 100 countries [1][13]. - The company has established production bases and R&D centers in Southeast Asia, South America, and Europe, ensuring a broad service coverage [13][17]. - The revenue has shown a growth trend from 2018 to 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.13% [21][22]. Optical Communication: Industry Leader - The company has maintained a leading technological advantage in the optical communication sector, with significant innovations in multi-core fiber technology and underwater communication solutions [2][42]. - The introduction of new products, such as the G.654.E multi-core fiber, has set domestic records for transmission capacity [2][36]. - The company is actively involved in the development of submarine cable solutions, providing comprehensive services in marine communication networks [41][42]. Computing Services: Benefiting from AI and Big Data - The server market in China is projected to grow significantly, with a market size of 218.68 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.0% [3][4]. - The company has launched a series of self-developed server products, achieving breakthroughs in high-end liquid cooling technology [3][34]. - The computing and storage business has seen a compound annual growth rate exceeding 50% in recent years, indicating strong growth potential [34]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing digital transformation trends in China, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 of 945.43 million, 1,179.44 million, and 1,421.91 million yuan respectively [4][5]. - The report anticipates a continuous improvement in gross margins due to the diversified product matrix and ongoing technological advancements [4][34].