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万国黄金集团(03939):动态报告:金岭扩产正当时,世界级金矿冉冉升起

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The revival of the Jinling Gold Mine significantly boosts the company's performance, with expected net profit growth of 71.56% year-on-year in 2024 and a forecasted increase of 134.99% in the first half of 2025 [1][24]. - The Jinling Gold Mine has excellent geological endowments and substantial potential for resource expansion, with resources increasing from 103 tons to 232 tons, a growth of 121.2% [2][38]. - The company is set to expand the Jinling Gold Mine's capacity to 14 million tons per year, potentially achieving an annual gold production of 15 tons, which will enhance profitability [3][41]. Summary by Sections Jinling Gold Mine Revival - The Jinling Gold Mine, located in the Solomon Islands, has resumed operations under the management of the company, achieving rapid production growth with gold output expected to reach 2.06 tons in 2024, a 26.7% increase from 2023 [1][21]. - The total sales cost for 2024 is projected at 227 g/t, with a complete cost of 273 g/t, indicating a significant cost advantage [1][22]. Resource Potential - The Jinling Gold Mine is situated in a renowned mineral-rich area, with ongoing exploration confirming substantial resource potential [2][27]. - As of the end of 2024, the mine's resource volume has been updated to 232 tons, with an average grade of 1.17 g/t, indicating further growth potential as production plans are revised [2][38]. Expansion Plans - The company has signed a feasibility study contract for a 10 million ton per year expansion with Zijin Mining, aiming to enhance the mine's capacity to 14 million tons annually [3][41]. - The expansion is expected to lower production costs and increase profitability, with projected net profits ranging from 32.5 billion to 44 billion RMB under favorable gold price scenarios [3][43]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is anticipated to achieve net profits of 12.63 billion, 15.94 billion, and 19.45 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.17, 1.47, and 1.80 RMB [4][44]. - The report emphasizes the company's growth potential and recommends a "Buy" rating based on expected increases in gold production and favorable market conditions [4][44].