新大正（002968）：跟踪报告：物管主业稳健增长，无人机应用值得期待

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [4][6]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated stable growth in its core property management business, with a revenue of 3.4 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 8.32% year-on-year increase. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 28.95% to 1.1 billion yuan [2][4]. - The company is actively exploring new technologies such as robotics and drones, which are expected to enhance revenue and operational efficiency in the future [3][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 3.4 billion yuan, with a core business revenue of 2.98 billion yuan, accounting for 87.8% of total revenue, and a year-on-year growth of 8.2%. The gross margin for the core business was 10.8%, down by 1.0 percentage points [2][4]. - The company’s revenue for Q1 2025 was 740 million yuan, a decline of 14.34% year-on-year, with a net profit of 33.82 million yuan, down 14.16% [2]. Business Segments - The company’s innovative business and urban services are promising, with urban services generating 290 million yuan and innovative services 120 million yuan in 2024, reflecting year-on-year growth of 9.9% and 6.3%, respectively. Their gross margins are 11.8% and 31.3%, both above the overall gross margin level [3]. - The establishment of a drone technology company is expected to create a new business model integrating low-altitude economic platform construction, drone education, and system integration services [3]. Financial Forecasts - The report projects a decline in net profit for 2025 and 2026, with estimates of 1.3 billion yuan and 1.4 billion yuan, respectively, down 31.6% and 34.4% from previous forecasts. The 2027 net profit is projected at 1.6 billion yuan [4][5]. - The company’s P/E ratios are forecasted to be 19, 18, and 16 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating a valuation adjustment in response to profit forecasts [4][5].