Yanjing Brewery(SZ:000729) Soochow Securities·2025-08-11 03:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its U8 product line, with non-recurring profit exceeding expectations. The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 8.558 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.37%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.103 billion yuan, up 45.45% year-on-year [7] - The company is focusing on enhancing its market presence in key regions and improving its product recognition through online and offline channels, aiming for sustained growth in the U8 segment [7] - The company has maintained an improving gross profit margin, with a net profit margin exceeding 20% in Q2 2025, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 14.213 billion yuan in 2023, 14.667 billion yuan in 2024, 15.436 billion yuan in 2025, 16.230 billion yuan in 2026, and 17.010 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.66%, 3.20%, 5.24%, 5.15%, and 4.80% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 644.71 million yuan in 2023, 1.05568 billion yuan in 2024, 1.60253 billion yuan in 2025, 1.92588 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.27416 billion yuan in 2027, with significant growth rates of 83.02%, 63.74%, 51.80%, 20.18%, and 18.08% respectively [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.23 yuan in 2023, 0.37 yuan in 2024, 0.57 yuan in 2025, 0.68 yuan in 2026, and 0.81 yuan in 2027 [1] Market Data Summary - The closing price of the company's stock is 13.12 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 36.979 billion yuan [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 57.36 for 2023, which is expected to decrease to 16.26 by 2027, indicating improving valuation as earnings grow [1][8]