Longhua New Material(SZ:301149) Bank of China Securities·2025-08-11 07:29Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a previous rating of "Not Rated" [1]. Core Views - The company is recognized as a high-quality player in the polyether industry, with rapid growth in production and sales. The report anticipates a promising future for the company's new materials business and the continued expansion of its polyether product advantages [4][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, Shandong Longhua New Materials Co., Ltd., specializes in the production of high-performance, environmentally friendly polyethers. It has established a multi-layered product system, including soft foam polyethers, end-amino polyethers, and polyamide resins [16][18]. Financial Performance - From 2019 to 2024, the company's revenue grew from 2.026 billion RMB to 5.624 billion RMB, with a CAGR of 22.65%. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased from 93 million RMB to 171 million RMB, with a CAGR of 12.93% [24]. In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.509 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 11.52% [24]. Industry Outlook - The polyether industry is expected to recover, with leading companies likely to benefit from improved market conditions. The report notes that the domestic competition landscape is optimizing, and the global competitiveness of the polyether industry is increasing [40][54]. Product Development - The company has a total polyether production capacity of 970,000 tons/year, with an additional 330,000 tons/year project under construction. The report highlights the company's core product, POP, which has a significant contribution to revenue and profitability [60][28]. Growth Projections - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 188 million RMB, 314 million RMB, and 514 million RMB, respectively. The corresponding PE ratios are projected to be 28.6, 17.1, and 10.5 times [6][8]. Market Position - The company is positioned among the top players in the polyether industry, with a market share that is expected to increase as the industry consolidates. The report indicates that the CR5 of the polyether industry rose from 38.5% in 2022 to 48% in 2024 [54][54]. Future Prospects - The company is actively expanding its product matrix, particularly in the nylon 66 value chain, with a long-term production target of 1.08 million tons/year. The first phase of the nylon 66 project is already in trial production [23][24]. Valuation - The report provides a valuation based on projected earnings and market conditions, indicating a favorable outlook for the company's stock performance in the coming years [6][8].