Zhongyuan Expressway(SH:600020) Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-08-11 14:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's debt structure optimization is showing results, and while toll revenues are under pressure, overall growth remains intact [5] - The company reported a revenue of approximately 3.105 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.17%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 663 million yuan, up 7.68% year-on-year [7] - The second quarter toll revenue showed a decline, attributed to a drop in freight demand, but the company operates key highways that are crucial for regional economic connectivity, suggesting potential recovery as logistics improve [7] - The company is making steady progress on the Zhenglu project, which is expected to release incremental revenue upon completion in 2026 [7] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 1.002 billion yuan in 2025, 1.091 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.149 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.3x, 9.5x, and 9.0x [7] Financial Summary - The company achieved a gross margin of 32.65% in Q2 2025, a decrease of 7.47 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in revenue structure and toll revenue decline [7] - The company's total market capitalization is approximately 10.315 billion yuan, with a total share capital of 2,247.37 million shares [3] - The company's debt-to-asset ratio stands at 71.01%, and the net asset value per share is 5.17 yuan [3]