Xingyu Co.,Ltd(SH:601799) Soochow Securities·2025-08-12 08:50Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The report outlines the growth trajectory of the company, highlighting its evolution through various market cycles, including the sedan cycle, SUV cycle, and the current transition to the new energy vehicle market [3][4][9]. - The company has established itself as a leading player in the automotive lighting sector, benefiting from strong partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and a focus on technological innovation [8][9]. Summary by Sections Sedan Cycle (2007-2011) - The company experienced stable revenue growth, with sales increasing from 446 million yuan in 2007 to 1.098 billion yuan in 2011, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% [18]. - Gross margin improved from 25.17% in 2007 to 27.22% in 2011, driven by higher sales from new projects and cost reductions [21]. - Net profit rose significantly from 59 million yuan in 2007 to 167 million yuan in 2011, with a net profit margin increase from 13.23% to 15.21% [21]. SUV Cycle (2012-2016) - Revenue grew from 1.318 billion yuan in 2012 to 3.347 billion yuan in 2016, with a CAGR of 26% [47]. - Gross margin declined from 25.93% in 2012 to 20.98% in 2016 due to price reductions from clients and rising costs [49]. - Net profit increased from 189 million yuan in 2012 to 350 million yuan in 2016, but the net profit margin fell from 15.21% to 10.46% [49]. New Energy Cycle (2021-2025) - The company is expected to return to a growth trajectory in revenue starting from 2023, following a period of adjustment in customer structure [4]. - The report forecasts net profits of 1.759 billion yuan in 2025, 2.199 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.698 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 6.16 yuan, 7.70 yuan, and 9.44 yuan respectively [1][9]. Intelligent Cycle (2026-2030) Outlook - The automotive lighting sector is anticipated to continue evolving with smart technology, enhancing market potential and driving average selling prices (ASP) higher [9]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from partnerships with leading clients in the new energy vehicle space, which will contribute to sustained growth [9].