Action Education(SH:605098) HUAXI Securities·2025-08-12 06:24Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][6] Core Views - The company's performance in Q2 2025 was under pressure, with revenue and net profit declining year-on-year by 11.68% and 3.51% respectively, primarily due to a sluggish market affecting course enrollment, especially for concentrated classes [2] - The company is transitioning its educational model to incorporate AI, aiming to enhance its management training and consulting services [3] - The company plans to implement a "Hundred Schools Plan" to open 100 branches in key cities over the next 3-5 years, leveraging AI to improve organizational efficiency and replicate successful management practices [3] - The company has proposed a cash dividend of 10 yuan per 10 shares, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 90.74% and a dividend yield of 5.43% [2] Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company's revenue, net profit, and operating cash flow were 344 million, 131 million, and 68 million yuan respectively, showing a decline compared to the previous year [2] - The gross margin and net margin for H1 2025 were 77.5% and 38.2%, reflecting an increase of 1.3 and 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company forecasts revenue for 2025-2027 to be 893 million, 999 million, and 1,115 million yuan, with net profit expected to be 292 million, 330 million, and 374 million yuan respectively [8][10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a low base in the second half of the year and the gradual contribution of the "Hundred Schools Plan" [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is 2.45, 2.77, and 3.13 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15, 13, and 12 times [6][10]