Changshu Bank(SH:601128) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-08-13 03:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 9.10 CNY, indicating a potential upside from the current price of 7.88 CNY [2][7]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated stable double-digit growth in revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders, with a proposed interim dividend for the first time, increasing the dividend payout ratio by 5.47 percentage points to 25.24% compared to 2024 [2][3]. - The net profit growth forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 13.6%, 13.4%, and 13.3%, respectively, with the book value per share (BVPS) projected to be 9.57 CNY, 10.90 CNY, and 12.28 CNY [3][4]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023A is 9,870 million CNY, with a projected growth of 12.1% for 2024A and 10.5% for 2025E, reaching 12,032 million CNY [5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A is 3,282 million CNY, with expected growth rates of 19.6% for 2024A and 16.2% for 2025E, reaching 4,331 million CNY [5]. - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 366,582 million CNY in 2024A to 408,249 million CNY in 2025E [14]. Growth Potential - The company is positioned as a rare asset with both stability and growth potential, focusing on small and micro enterprises, with a customer base expected to reach 570,000 by mid-2025 [4]. - The company is actively merging village banks to enhance its market presence, with plans to add 2 and 4 new branches through village reform in 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively [4][3]. Asset Quality - The overall asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.02% as of the end of Q2 2025, reflecting a slight increase from the beginning of the year [13][15]. - The company maintains a high provision coverage ratio of 490%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [13][15].