Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for H-shares and an "Accumulate" rating for A-shares [6] Core Views - The company reported a steady revenue growth of 1.45% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, achieving a total revenue of 200.2 billion RMB and a net profit of 6.349 billion RMB, which is a 5.12% increase year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the growth of its cloud computing and data center businesses, driven by the development of the domestic AI industry, presenting new growth opportunities [1][3] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.284 RMB per share, reflecting a 14.5% increase, indicating strong dividend attractiveness [1] Revenue and User Growth - The company's connectivity business revenue grew by 0.4% year-on-year to 131.9 billion RMB, with a net increase of 11.19 million mobile and broadband users, reaching a total of 480 million users [2] - The average revenue per user (ARPU) for integrated services exceeded 100 RMB, with 270 million users utilizing value-added cloud intelligence products [2] Intelligent Computing and International Expansion - The intelligent computing segment saw a revenue increase of 4.3% year-on-year to 45.4 billion RMB, with cloud revenue reaching 37.6 billion RMB, a 4.6% increase [3] - The company is accelerating its international business expansion, with international revenue growing by 11% to 6.8 billion RMB [3] Profitability and Cash Flow - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved by 0.07 percentage points to 3.75%, and the net profit margin increased by 0.24 percentage points to 7.21% due to enhanced operational efficiency [4] - Capital expenditures decreased by 15% year-on-year to 20.2 billion RMB, with expectations of further profit and cash flow release as 5G base station construction nears completion [4] Earnings Forecast - The projected net profit for the company for 2025-2027 is 9.602 billion RMB, 10.124 billion RMB, and 10.643 billion RMB respectively, with a downward adjustment of 4.5%, 8.5%, and 11.4% from previous estimates [5] - The estimated book value per share (BPS) for 2025 is 5.77 RMB, with a target price of 7.56 RMB for A-shares based on a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.31 [5][12]
中国联通(600050):业绩稳健增长,经营效率进一步提升