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中科环保(301175):产能增加、供热拓展驱动业绩,2025H1归母净利同比增长20%

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zhongke Environmental Protection is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the analysis suggests a positive outlook based on performance metrics and growth potential. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a revenue of 848 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.48%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 196 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 19.83% year-on-year [1]. - The company's gross profit margin increased by 4.6 percentage points to 43.96%, indicating a significant improvement in profitability [3]. - The company processed 2.1363 million tons of household waste, a year-on-year increase of 10.07%, with a revenue from waste incineration power generation of 691 million yuan, up 14.81% [3]. - The heating volume reached 877,500 tons, growing by 12.01%, with a heating ratio maintained above 40% [3]. - The company is expanding its capacity through acquisitions, with a current capacity of 20,900 tons per day, of which 14,400 tons per day are operational [3]. - A high dividend commitment was announced, with a plan to distribute no less than 60% of the net profit attributable to the parent company in cash from 2024 to 2028 [3]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.857 billion yuan, 2.147 billion yuan, and 2.387 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 399 million yuan, 483 million yuan, and 545 million yuan [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 298 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.52% [1]. - Basic earnings per share (EPS) for the first half of 2025 was 0.1333 yuan, up 19.77% year-on-year [1]. Business Segments - The waste incineration power generation business is the core driver of growth, with a gross margin of 52.57% [3]. - The project construction business saw a revenue increase of 43.70%, contributing to overall performance [3]. Growth Strategy - The company is actively pursuing external acquisitions to enhance its operational capacity and market presence, particularly in southern China [3]. - Ongoing projects in heating capacity expansion are expected to further drive growth [3]. Dividend Policy - The company has committed to a high dividend payout ratio, reflecting confidence in future earnings and shareholder returns [3]. Earnings Forecast - The projected P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 20.73x, 17.13x, and 15.19x, indicating a favorable valuation trend as earnings grow [4].