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甘李药业(603087):业绩符合预期,海外市场持续高增长

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 2.067 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 57.18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 604 million yuan, up 101.96% year-on-year [5][11] - Domestic sales revenue reached 1.845 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 55.28%, driven by two rounds of insulin procurement that significantly expanded market share [5] - International sales revenue was 219 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 74.68%, as the company deepened its global market expansion and strengthened local operational capabilities [5] Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit of 292 million yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.80%, with a non-GAAP net profit of 273 million yuan, up 149.03% year-on-year [5] - R&D investment for the first half of 2025 reached 552 million yuan, accounting for 26.70% of total revenue [6] - The company expects revenues of 4.393 billion yuan, 5.229 billion yuan, and 6.247 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 44.2%, 19.0%, and 19.5% [11][13] Product Pipeline - The company has several key products in clinical stages, including the long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonist, Bo Fang Gu Lu Tai injection, which is in Phase III clinical trials in China and Phase II in the U.S. [7] - GZR4 injection, a fourth-generation insulin product, is in Phase III clinical trials in China and has received Phase I approval in Europe and the U.S. [8] - GZR101 injection, a premixed dual insulin formulation, has completed Phase II clinical trials in China and has shown superior efficacy compared to existing treatments [9]