SHUANGHUI(SZ:000895) Haitong Securities International·2025-08-13 13:27Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][16]. Core Insights - The company's profitability in meat products remains high, and its high dividend payout underscores its investment value [3][5]. - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 28.50 billion in 1H25, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.32 billion, up 1.2% year-on-year [8][3]. - The report projects revenue for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be RMB 61.5 billion, RMB 63.4 billion, and RMB 66.2 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 5.2 billion, RMB 5.4 billion, and RMB 5.7 billion [14]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 1H25, the meat products segment generated revenue of RMB 11.21 billion, down 9.4% year-on-year, with an operating profit of RMB 2.98 billion, a decrease of 10.4% year-on-year [9][10]. - The slaughtering segment achieved revenue of RMB 13.77 billion, up 3.3% year-on-year, with a sales volume of approximately 689,000 tonnes, an increase of 11.2% year-on-year [10][9]. - The overall profitability improvement in 2Q25 was driven by enhanced profit per tonne in the meat products segment and effective loss reduction in the poultry farming business [11][12]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 6.5 per 10 shares, totaling RMB 2.25 billion, with a payout ratio exceeding 100% [5][13]. - Cumulative cash dividends from 2020 to 2024 amounted to RMB 27.987 billion, with an average payout ratio of 104.49% [5][13]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report estimates forward P/E ratios of 16.6x for 2025, 16.0x for 2026, and 15.2x for 2027 [14]. - The target price is set at RMB 29.91, based on a 20x P/E for 2025 [14].