ZHUYE GP(SH:600961) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-13 15:02Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [4][6][43]. Core Views - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 increased by 57.8% year-on-year, driven by rising gold prices and a recovery in zinc smelting processing fees [1][8]. - The company achieved a revenue of 10.4 billion yuan in 2025H1, representing a 14.9% increase, with a net profit of 585 million yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 594 million yuan, which is an 88.63% increase [1][8]. - The significant profit growth is attributed to the substantial rise in gold prices and the recovery of zinc concentrate processing fees starting from Q4 2024 [1][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025H1, the average gold price on the Shanghai Gold Exchange was 722 yuan per gram, up 38.6% year-on-year, while the average silver price increased by 20.3% to 8171 yuan per kilogram [3][9]. - The company reported a gross profit of 1.27 billion yuan in 2025H1, a 44.9% increase from 870 million yuan in 2024H1 [9]. - Research and development expenses rose significantly to 160 million yuan in 2025H1 from 80 million yuan in 2024H1, indicating increased investment in R&D [3][9]. Production Capacity - The company has a production capacity of 860,000 tons for lead, zinc, and copper mining, with 680,000 tons for zinc products and 100,000 tons for lead products [2][8]. - The annual production of lead and zinc metals exceeds 40,000 tons, with gold production estimated at 1.8 to 2 tons and silver at approximately 60 tons [2][8]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.19 billion yuan, 1.38 billion yuan, and 1.49 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 51%, 16%, and 8% [4][44]. - The diluted EPS for the same years is projected to be 1.11 yuan, 1.29 yuan, and 1.39 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.0, 9.5, and 8.8 [4][44].