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锦浪科技(300763):2025半年报点评:受益欧洲及亚非拉需求增长,Q2储能超预期环比高增

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company benefits from increased demand in Europe and Asia, Africa, and Latin America, with Q2 energy storage exceeding expectations and showing significant growth [9] - The company's household and commercial power station scale remains stable, continuously contributing to cash flow and profits [3] - The company achieved a revenue of 3.0 billion yuan from distributed power stations, maintaining stability year-on-year, while household power stations generated approximately 8.1 billion yuan, a 4% increase year-on-year [3] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 37.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.0 billion yuan, up 71% year-on-year [9] - The company’s revenue from energy storage in H1 2025 reached 7.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 314%, with a gross margin of approximately 30% [9] - The company’s operating expenses in H1 2025 were 7.4 billion yuan, a 4% increase year-on-year, with a slight decrease in the expense ratio [9] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for the company is maintained for 2025, with slight downward adjustments for 2026 and 2027. The expected net profits for 2025-2027 are 11.6 billion, 14.5 billion, and 17.7 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 68%, 25%, and 22% [9] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 22, 18, and 14 times respectively [9]