东方电缆（603606）：存货、合同负债高增，下半年业绩望加速释放

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.43 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.0%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.6% to 473 million RMB [3] - The short-term performance is slightly pressured due to the revenue recognition cycle of offshore wind projects, with the cable business showing a revenue increase of 25% year-on-year [4] - Inventory and contract liabilities have significantly increased, indicating potential for accelerated performance in the second half of the year [5] - The company has a strong order backlog of 19.6 billion RMB, with expectations for accelerated order acquisition in the second half [5] Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.29 billion RMB, down 17.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 192 million RMB, down 49.6% [3] Operational Analysis - The power engineering and cable business generated 2.2 billion RMB in revenue, up 25% year-on-year, while the submarine cable and high-voltage cable segment generated 2 billion RMB, up 8% year-on-year [4] - The marine equipment and engineering operations segment saw a significant decline of 45% year-on-year [4] Inventory and Order Backlog - As of mid-2025, contract liabilities reached 1.67 billion RMB, up 473% year-on-year, and inventory stood at 3.13 billion RMB, up 67% year-on-year [5] - The company has a robust order backlog of 19.6 billion RMB, with expectations for new project bids in the offshore wind sector [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.72 billion, 2.24 billion, and 2.65 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21, 16, and 13 [6]