健盛集团（603558）：H1弱市中经营平稳，预计H2棉袜现拐点

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6]. Core Views - In the short term, the cotton sock business is expected to see better orders in H2 2025 compared to H1 due to changes in customer ordering patterns. The seamless segment is anticipated to improve further with increased production capacity in Vietnam and new customer acquisitions. Long-term prospects remain positive with a focus on key customers, strong R&D, and cost reduction efforts, leading to stable growth in cotton socks and potential for the seamless segment to become a growth driver [2][5][6]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 300 million, 330 million, and 370 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a year-on-year change of -6%, +7%, and +13%. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 11, 11, and 9 times, with a dividend yield of 5.3% based on a 60% payout ratio [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company reported revenues of 1.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 14.5% to 142 million yuan. In Q2 alone, revenues were 610 million yuan, with a net profit of 82 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 1.5% and 2.2% year-on-year respectively. The dividend payout ratio for H1 reached 61% [4][5]. Business Segments - Cotton Socks: Revenue is expected to remain stable, with profit margins anticipated to improve sequentially. The demand is steady, but the timing of orders from key customers has impacted revenue growth. H2 is expected to see better performance due to the peak ordering season and improved order certainty from some customers [5][6]. - Seamless Segment: Revenue is projected to grow steadily, supported by effective management and high-priced product shipments. The profitability is expected to improve as the Vietnamese production base stabilizes and customer structure optimizes [5][6].