Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.43 billion RMB for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 470 million RMB, a decrease of 26.6% year-on-year. The profit pressure is attributed to the adjustment in the revenue structure of submarine cables and the sale of land use rights in the same period last year. However, with key offshore wind projects like Fanshi No. 1 and Qingzhou No. 5 starting turbine hoisting, the company is expected to see a gradual increase in submarine cable deliveries in H2 2025 [1][2][3] - The company has a robust order backlog, reaching approximately 19.6 billion RMB as of August 12, 2025, with significant contributions from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, marine equipment, and engineering operations. The company is expected to enter a peak delivery season in the second half of the year, which will drive profit recovery [3][4] - The domestic and international offshore wind markets are experiencing high demand, with many projects yet to be tendered. The company is well-positioned to benefit from this trend due to its leading technology and delivery experience [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.29 billion RMB, a decrease of 17.1% year-on-year and an increase of 6.4% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 190 million RMB, down 49.6% year-on-year and down 31.6% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin was 16.3%, a decrease of 6.3 percentage points year-on-year and 4.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The revenue from submarine cables and high-voltage cables was 760 million RMB, down 46.9% year-on-year and 36.4% quarter-on-quarter. Revenue from marine equipment and engineering operations was 210 million RMB, up 48.4% year-on-year and 223.1% quarter-on-quarter. Revenue from power engineering and cable equipment was 1.31 billion RMB, up 10.9% year-on-year and 48.1% quarter-on-quarter [2] Order Backlog and Future Outlook - The company’s order backlog reached a new high of approximately 19.6 billion RMB, with 11 billion RMB from submarine cables and high-voltage cables, 3.6 billion RMB from marine equipment and engineering operations, and 5 billion RMB from power engineering and cable equipment. The backlog reflects a decrease of 4% for submarine cables and high-voltage cables but increases of 20% and 14% for marine equipment and power engineering, respectively [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming tendering of offshore wind projects in China and supportive policies in Europe, which will likely drive high growth in submarine cable orders [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains the profit forecast for the company, expecting EPS of 2.81, 3.24, and 3.41 RMB for 2025-2027. The target price is set at 56.20 RMB, based on a PE ratio of 20 times for 2025, reflecting the company's strong market position and order backlog [5][7]
东方电缆(603606):Q2业绩承压,看好H2海缆交付放量