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安琪酵母(600298):Q2国内业务恢复增长,利润弹性持续释放

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.899 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 799 million yuan, up 15.66% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.105 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.19%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 429 million yuan, up 15.35% year-on-year [1] - The company is experiencing recovery in domestic business and continued high growth in overseas markets, with Q2 revenue from domestic and international markets at 2.305 billion yuan and 1.778 billion yuan, respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 4.3% and 22.3% [3] Financial Performance Summary - The company maintained a gross margin of 26.19% in Q2, an increase of 2.27 percentage points year-on-year, driven by an increase in overseas business proportion and a decrease in molasses prices [3] - The company’s Q2 non-recurring net profit reached 405 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.39% [1][3] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 13.585 billion yuan in 2023 to 20.694 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.4% [4] Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.83 yuan, 2.12 yuan, and 2.46 yuan, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 21X, 18X, and 15X [3][4]