双汇发展（000895）：收入增长稳健，Q2盈利改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a steady revenue growth with a 3.0% year-on-year increase in H1 2025, achieving a total revenue of 28.503 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.323 billion yuan, up 1.17% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items slightly decreased by 0.71% to 2.215 billion yuan [1] - In Q2 2025, the company saw a revenue of 14.208 billion yuan, representing a 6.31% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.186 billion yuan, which is a 15.74% increase year-on-year [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 6.50 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 2.252 billion yuan, with a payout ratio of 96.94% [1] Summary by Sections Meat Products Business - The meat products segment experienced a revenue decline of 9.4% year-on-year, totaling 11.207 billion yuan. The volume of packaged meat products sold was 640,700 tons, down 9.04% year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in traditional channel sales. The average price per ton was 17,000 yuan, down 0.41% year-on-year [2] - New products contributed 1.44 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 12% of the meat products segment, with a sales volume of 65,000 tons, representing 10% of the segment [2] - The segment's operating profit was 2.98 billion yuan, down 10.4% year-on-year, with a profit per ton of approximately 4,651 yuan, down 1.5% year-on-year [2] Slaughtering Business - The slaughtering business saw a revenue increase of 3.3% year-on-year, reaching 13.769 billion yuan. The sales volume was 619,400 tons, up 11.17% year-on-year, while the average price per ton was 20,000 yuan, down 7.05% year-on-year [3] - The company achieved significant growth in scale through enhanced customer development and network expansion, despite fluctuations in pork prices affecting profit margins [3] Other Businesses - Other business segments reported a revenue increase of 33.14% year-on-year, totaling 5.767 billion yuan, with improvements in the pig and poultry industries leading to reduced costs and enhanced profitability [3] Future Outlook - For the second half of 2025, the company expects a decrease in meat product costs and plans to enhance market support and promote high-cost performance products, maintaining a high profit per ton [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 62.21 billion yuan, 64.30 billion yuan, and 66.44 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.2%, 3.4%, and 3.3% respectively. Net profits are projected to be 5.16 billion yuan, 5.39 billion yuan, and 5.58 billion yuan, with growth rates of 3.4%, 4.4%, and 3.7% respectively [4][5]