SCTE(SH:600674) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-15 13:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's mid-year performance for 2025 met expectations, with total revenue of 712 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.461 billion yuan, up 6.90% year-on-year [7] - Investment income increased by 7% year-on-year, primarily driven by the contribution from the Yalong River hydropower project, which generated 43 billion kWh of electricity, a 12.68% increase year-on-year [7] - The company is focusing on hydropower development, with plans to increase investment in Yalong River and Dadu River projects, which are expected to enhance investment returns significantly [7] - The dividend certainty is expected to increase year by year, with a projected dividend of 0.4 yuan per share for 2024, corresponding to a dividend yield of 2.61% at the current stock price [7] - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 5.273 billion, 5.788 billion, and 6.219 billion yuan respectively, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 14, 13, and 12 times [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 1,944 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 20.8% [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated at 5,273 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.0% [5] - Earnings per share for 2025 is projected to be 1.08 yuan [5] - The company's gross margin is expected to be 52.6% in 2025 [5] - Return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 11.6% for 2025 [5]