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联创光电(600363):深度研究报告:可控核聚变系列研究(二):传统主业提质增效、预期向好,激光与核聚变打开未来成长空间

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance [1]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from improvements in its traditional business and significant growth potential in emerging sectors such as laser technology and nuclear fusion [6][11]. - The report highlights the company's deep technical expertise in high-temperature superconducting magnets, which positions it well to capitalize on future industry developments [7][8]. Financial Summary - Projected total revenue for 2024 is 31.04 billion, with a year-on-year decrease of 4.2%. Revenue is expected to grow to 35.96 billion in 2025, 40.02 billion in 2026, and 45.06 billion in 2027, with respective growth rates of 15.8%, 11.3%, and 12.6% [2][11]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.41 billion in 2024, down 27.9% year-on-year, but expected to rebound to 5.83 billion in 2025, 7.21 billion in 2026, and 8.75 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 141.6%, 23.7%, and 21.3% respectively [2][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.53 in 2024, increasing to 1.29 in 2025, 1.59 in 2026, and 1.93 in 2027 [2]. Business Segments - The company divides its operations into traditional and emerging businesses. Traditional business includes smart control products and backlight source products, while emerging business encompasses high-temperature superconducting magnets and laser products [6][10]. - The smart control products are expected to account for approximately 60% of revenue in 2024, with a focus on improving efficiency and profitability [10][34]. - The backlight source business is undergoing structural adjustments, shifting from low-margin consumer electronics to higher-margin applications in larger displays [10][34]. Growth Potential - The nuclear fusion market is projected to reach 10.5 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53.9% from 2024 to 2030. The company is actively involved in the construction of the "Spark One" project, which is expected to generate future orders [8][11]. - The global commercial space launch market is also expected to grow significantly, with the company having secured a project for electromagnetic launch magnets, positioning it to enter a market worth hundreds of billions [8][11]. - The laser weapon market is anticipated to grow from 5 billion in 2023 to 24 billion by 2030, with the company's "Blade" series expected to benefit from this expansion [9][11].