ToLand(SZ:300855) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-16 11:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 599 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 18.2%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 93 million yuan, down 51.4% year-over-year [1]. - The company is one of the few in China capable of mass-producing both deformed high-temperature alloys and cast high-temperature alloys, indicating a strong position in the market [1]. - The company is expanding its subsidiary, Tunan Intelligent Manufacturing, which is expected to enhance its production capabilities and extend its industrial chain [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 310 million yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 18.0% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 9.5%. The net profit for the same quarter was 50 million yuan, down 49.0% year-over-year but up 23.0% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 decreased by 10.4 percentage points to 27.9%, while the net margin fell by 10.6 percentage points to 15.5% [1]. - The company’s revenue from deformed high-temperature alloys was 280 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-over-year, while revenue from cast high-temperature alloys was 170 million yuan, down 39.6% year-over-year [2]. Cost and Expenses - The overall expense ratio remained stable, with a slight increase in the period expense ratio by 1.2 percentage points to 9.4% in the first half of 2025 [3]. - The company recorded an asset impairment loss of 11 million yuan, compared to no loss in the same period last year [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to generate net profits of 300 million yuan, 350 million yuan, and 420 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 40x for 2025, 34x for 2026, and 29x for 2027, reflecting a favorable valuation given the company's industry position and expansion plans [4].