EASTMONEY(SZ:300059) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-16 15:16Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 6.86 billion yuan for 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 38.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.57 billion yuan, up 37.3% year-on-year [5] - The company benefits from increased market activity in securities trading, despite pressure on its fund distribution business [8] - The report projects an increase in net profit for 2025-2027, with expected figures of 10.98 billion, 11.72 billion, and 11.84 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 14.26%, 6.78%, and 0.95% [8] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 11.08 billion yuan in 2023, increasing to 14.47 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate [CAGR] of approximately 5.5% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 8.19 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.84 billion yuan in 2027, indicating a CAGR of about 8.5% [9] - The report highlights a projected increase in the company's return on equity [ROE], from 11.95% in 2023 to 12.81% in 2025 [6][9] Business Segment Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved significant growth in its brokerage and margin financing businesses, with revenues of 3.85 billion and 1.43 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 61% and 39% [8] - The fund distribution business faced challenges, with revenues only increasing by 4% year-on-year, attributed to a decrease in fund sales prices despite an increase in transaction volume [8] - The company's market share in stock trading increased to 4.25% in 1H25, a year-on-year rise of 25 basis points [8]