Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Gold International, with a target price raised to 110 HKD for 2026, based on a projected PE of 13 times [3][6]. Core Insights - China Gold International reported a significant turnaround in its financial performance, achieving a net profit of 200 million USD in H1 2025, compared to a loss in the previous year. The Q2 2025 net profit was 115 million USD, reflecting a 35.6% increase quarter-on-quarter [1][3]. - The average prices for copper and molybdenum showed stability with an upward trend, while the average gold price surged by 15% in Q2 2025 [1]. - The production performance at the Jiamar mine exceeded expectations, with copper production reaching 18,000 tons in Q2 2025, a 7% increase from the previous quarter [2]. - The report highlights a significant improvement in cost management, with cash costs for copper dropping from 2.62 USD/pound in Q1 2025 to 2.35 USD/pound in Q2 2025 [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 200 million USD in H1 2025, a substantial recovery from previous losses, with Q2 2025 net profit at 115 million USD [1]. - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are set at 1.11 billion USD, 1.14 billion USD, and 1.23 billion USD respectively, indicating a growth trajectory [5]. Production and Cost Management - Jiamar mine's copper production was 18,000 tons in Q2 2025, with gold and silver production also exceeding expectations [2]. - The report notes a recovery in pricing coefficients, with the copper price discount coefficient improving from approximately 60% in Q1 2025 to about 67% in Q2 2025 [2]. - Significant cost reductions were achieved, with cash costs before by-product credits decreasing notably [2]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates continued strong performance from both the Jiamar and Changshanhao mines, with production targets adjusted to the upper limits of guidance [3]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 393 million USD, 429 million USD, and 497 million USD respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 10.2, 9.3, and 8.1 [3].
中国黄金国际（02099）：铜金产销、计价系数、成本均超预期