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越秀交通基建(01052):1H净利超预期,平临高速贡献增量

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company reported a net profit of 361 million HKD for the first half of 2025, which is a 14.9% year-on-year increase, driven by the acquisition of Pinglin Expressway and positive network changes benefiting Hubei-Han Expressway [1][2] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.12 HKD per share for 2025, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of 50.6% [1] - The target price has been adjusted to 4.79 HKD based on an updated profit forecast for 2025-2027, reflecting an 8.5% increase in net profit estimates for 2025 [5][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 2.099 billion HKD, up 14.9% year-on-year, with net profit reaching 361 million HKD, also a 14.9% increase [1] - The acquisition of Pinglin Expressway contributed approximately 39 million HKD to the net profit, accounting for about 80% of the total net profit increase [2] - The financial costs decreased by 28 million HKD year-on-year due to lower market interest rates, with the average borrowing rate dropping to 2.57% [2] Revenue Drivers - Toll revenue increased by 15.2% year-on-year, with a 3.1% increase in non-consolidated toll revenue, primarily due to the performance of Hubei-Han Expressway, which saw a 57% increase in toll revenue [3] - The overall impact of network changes in 2025 is expected to be neutral, with slight variations in toll revenues across different expressways [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised by 8.5%, 5.1%, and 10.4% respectively, with projected net profits of 730 million, 745 million, and 757 million HKD [5] - The estimated dividend yield for 2025 is projected to be 6.8%, indicating strong attractiveness for dividend investors [5]