Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, considering the expected recovery in industry demand and the company's leading order scale and profitability levels [3][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.432 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.95%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 26.57% to 473 million yuan [1]. - The decline in performance is attributed to changes in product revenue structure, with lower added value in power engineering and equipment cables, as well as a decrease in revenue from marine equipment [1][2]. - The company has achieved a record high in hand orders, totaling approximately 19.6 billion yuan, with significant contributions from power engineering and equipment cables and submarine cables [2]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.196 billion yuan from power engineering and equipment cables, a year-on-year increase of 24.85%, while submarine cables and high-voltage cables generated 1.957 billion yuan, up 8.32% [2]. - The company’s inventory increased by 69.91% year-on-year to approximately 3.116 billion yuan, primarily due to the rise in inventory of submarine cables and high-voltage cables [2]. - Contract liabilities at the end of H1 2025 reached approximately 1.674 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 45.91% from the beginning of the period [2]. Capacity Expansion - The company is enhancing its capacity layout by participating in the Zhejiang Haifeng mother port project, aimed at supporting deep-sea wind power construction, with plans to develop over 3 million kilowatts of deep-sea wind power capacity by 2030 [3]. - The company is also advancing the construction of its central research institute and headquarters, as well as the second phase of its future factory, to effectively improve production capacity [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 11.274 billion yuan, 14.131 billion yuan, and 15.328 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.501 billion yuan, 2.291 billion yuan, and 2.447 billion yuan [4][8].
东方电缆(603606):趋势向好,关注存货和合同负债增长