YIWU CCC(SH:600415) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-18 02:57Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][13]. Core Views - The company has shown steady performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 7.713 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.99%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.691 billion yuan, up 16.78% year-on-year. The second quarter saw revenue of 4.552 billion yuan, growing 11.41%, and net profit of 888 million yuan, increasing 20.77% [1][7]. - Emerging businesses are significantly contributing to growth, with trade service revenue increasing by 43.16% to 531 million yuan, and the Chinagoods platform showing a remarkable 110% increase in net profit [1][9]. - The company is expected to enter a new expansion phase with the opening of the global digital trade center in October, which is anticipated to contribute additional revenue [2][13]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 31.55% in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 1.53 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the increased proportion of low-margin product sales [2][9]. - Operating cash flow significantly improved, with a net cash flow of 1.383 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1109.17%, largely due to the receipt of funds from the global digital trade center [2][9]. - The company forecasts net profits of 4.032 billion yuan, 6.408 billion yuan, and 7.832 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25.9, 16.3, and 13.4 [2][13].