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神马电力(603530):Q2订单增速亮眼,有望进一步受益于海外持续开拓和全球电网景气回升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [6][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue growth of 27.7% year-on-year for H1 2025, with a total revenue of 700 million yuan. The net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 13.6% year-on-year to 160 million yuan [3][4]. - The company experienced a remarkable order growth in Q2 2025, with new orders amounting to 530 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.6%. This includes a breakthrough in the Middle East market with a major project win [4][5]. - The company is actively pursuing stock buybacks and employee stock option plans, reflecting management's confidence in future performance [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 29.40 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 12.7 billion yuan. The company has a total share capital of 432 million shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 28.3% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.27 [2]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company's revenue from its main segments was as follows: composite external insulation for substations at 490 million yuan (up 27.6%), rubber sealing components at 120 million yuan (up 17.7%), and composite external insulation for power transmission and distribution lines at 80 million yuan (up 71.8%) [3][4]. - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 44.4%, a decrease of 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 22.8%, down 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 430 million, 540 million, and 670 million yuan, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 30, 24, and 19 times [6][10].