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多点数智(02586):AI零售创新产品持续升级,经营提效利润快速增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 10% compared to the benchmark index in the next 12-18 months [4][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved high-quality and steady growth in the first half of 2025, with significant profit performance and continuous innovation in AI retail products, positioning it to benefit from technological changes in the industry [1][4]. - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 1.078 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, while gross profit was 414 million RMB, up 15.2% [4]. - The company has a strong customer retention rate, with a net revenue retention rate of 107%, and has successfully expanded its customer base by signing contracts with notable clients [4][5]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 2.222 billion RMB in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.5% from 2023 to 2025 [3][4]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to turn positive in 2025, reaching 151 million RMB, with further increases to 270 million RMB in 2026 and 411 million RMB in 2027 [3][4]. - The report provides a dynamic price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 5.5 for 2025, with a target price of 14.18 HKD, based on a conversion rate of 1 HKD = 0.92 RMB [4][5]. Customer and Product Development - The company has implemented a dual-driven strategy focusing on both existing and new customers, leading to a significant increase in revenue from independent clients, which grew by 44.21% year-on-year [4]. - New AI-driven retail solutions have been launched, including systems for supply chain management and store operations, enhancing operational efficiency and product offerings [4][5].