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东方财富(300059):2025 年半年报点评:业绩符合预期,经纪和信用业务是主要驱动力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price set at 31.20 CNY per share [6][13]. Core Insights - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 exceeded expectations, primarily driven by growth in securities brokerage and credit businesses, despite a decline in investment income. The report remains optimistic about continued performance growth due to active trading in the market [3][13]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 11,081 million CNY, with projections of 14,611 million CNY for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.9% [5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 8,193 million CNY in 2023 to 12,263 million CNY in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 27.6% [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.52 CNY in 2023 to 0.78 CNY in 2025 [5]. Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, adjusted revenue (including investment income) reached 8,254 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 25% [13]. - The brokerage fee income surged by 60.62% to 3,847 million CNY, contributing 87% to the adjusted revenue growth, while net interest income rose by 39.38% to 1,431 million CNY, contributing 24% [13]. - The average daily trading volume for stock funds in the first half of 2025 was 16,400 billion CNY, a 66% increase year-on-year [13]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates continued active trading in the market, with expectations of increased institutional investment in equities due to declining risk-free interest rates [13]. - The number of new A-share accounts opened in July reached 1.96 million, a 71% year-on-year increase, indicating a growing demand for securities services [13].