YIWU CCC(SH:600415) HUAXI Securities·2025-08-18 07:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 7.713 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.691 billion yuan, up 16.78% year-on-year, nearing the upper limit of the forecast range [2] - The trade service and commodity sales segments contributed significantly to revenue growth, with the CG platform's net profit increasing by 110% and YiPay's profit exceeding 50% year-on-year [3] - The company is expected to maintain stable rental income and benefit from new market expansions and rental increases, with projected revenues of 20.3 billion yuan, 26.5 billion yuan, and 32.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 29%, 31%, and 23% [7] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenues of 7.713 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.691 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.668 billion yuan, showing growth rates of 16.78% and 17.57% respectively [2] - The revenue breakdown for the first half of 2025 shows market operations, trade services, supporting services, and commodity sales generating revenues of 2.379 billion, 531 million, 270 million, and 4.533 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.8%, 43.2%, 16.7%, and 16.4% [3] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 31.56%, with a net profit margin of 21.92%, indicating stable profitability [5][6] Future Outlook - The company plans to expand its rental space by 390,000 square meters through the global digital trade center initiative, with rental increases projected at no less than 5% annually from 2024 to 2026 [7] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 4.3 billion yuan, 5.5 billion yuan, and 6.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.79 yuan, 1.00 yuan, and 1.22 yuan [9]