生益电子（688183）：业绩持续环比增长，加速扩产打开成长天花板

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of stock price appreciation exceeding 15% over the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a significant year-on-year revenue growth of 91% in the first half of 2025, with revenues reaching 3.769 billion yuan, and a remarkable net profit increase of 452.11%, amounting to 531 million yuan [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 2.189 billion yuan, reflecting a 101.12% year-on-year growth and a 38.61% quarter-on-quarter increase, while net profit reached 330 million yuan, up 373.34% year-on-year and 65.01% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company is deeply integrated with major AI server clients, driving performance through robust orders in high-margin computing products, which have led to an overall increase in gross margin [2]. - The company is expanding its production capacity to meet the strong demand for AI computing, with a total investment of approximately 1.9 billion yuan in a smart manufacturing project aimed at producing high-layer circuit boards [2]. - The project is set to produce 700,000 square meters of printed circuit boards annually, with the first phase expected to begin trial production in 2026 [2]. - The company is also diversifying its product offerings, making strides in the 800G high-speed switch market and developing products for autonomous driving and energy sectors, which are now in mass production [3]. - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 1.302 billion yuan, 2.022 billion yuan, and 2.867 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 35, 23, and 16 [3]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 8.369 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 78.57%, followed by 12.14 billion yuan in 2026 and 15.853 billion yuan in 2027 [4]. - The net profit is expected to grow significantly, with a forecast of 1.302 billion yuan in 2025, 2.022 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.867 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 292.19%, 55.29%, and 41.80% respectively [4]. - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 22.7% in 2024 to 33.5% by 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [12].