BNBMPLC(SZ:000786) HTSC·2025-08-19 02:06Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 31.07 [1][5]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at RMB 135.6 billion and net profit at RMB 19.3 billion, representing a year-on-year change of -0.3% and -12.9% respectively. The second quarter showed revenue of RMB 73.1 billion and net profit of RMB 10.9 billion, down by -4.5% and -21.9% year-on-year. The performance was slightly below expectations due to increased credit impairment losses. However, the consumer goods logic continues to deliver, and policies such as home renovation incentives are expected to improve demand for building materials [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue from gypsum boards, metal studs, waterproof membranes, and coatings was RMB 66.8 billion, RMB 11.4 billion, RMB 17.2 billion, and RMB 25.1 billion respectively. The year-on-year changes were -8.6%, -10.7%, +0.6%, and +40.8%. The overall gross margin was 38.7%, with the coatings segment showing a gross margin of 31.8%, which improved by 2.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. Cost and Cash Flow - The company's expense ratio for the first half of 2025 was 13.4%, up by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year. The sales expense ratio increased to 5.2%, attributed to ongoing investments in the coatings business. Operating cash flow decreased by 52.9% year-on-year to RMB 9.6 billion, primarily due to changes in credit policies and cash flow dynamics from previous periods. It is anticipated that cash flow will improve as sales collections increase [3][4]. Market Outlook and Strategic Initiatives - Retail sales of building and decoration materials showed a year-on-year increase of 2.2% in the first seven months of 2025. Recent government policies aimed at boosting consumer loans are expected to further stimulate retail consumption. The company announced plans to build production lines for 8 million square meters of paper-faced gypsum boards and 20,000 tons of light steel studs, which will enhance its competitive position in target markets [4][5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted downward due to short-term sales pressure, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at RMB 40.3 billion, RMB 47.2 billion, and RMB 54.0 billion respectively. The target price has been revised to RMB 31.07, reflecting a slight discount to account for short-term sales and business integration pressures, while new projects are expected to strengthen market competitiveness [5][9].