爱美客（300896）：市场竞争加剧，上半年业绩承压

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 1.3 billion yuan, down 21.6% year-on-year, and net profit at 790 million yuan, down 29.6% year-on-year [4][5] - The performance in the second quarter of 2025 was particularly impacted by a weak consumer market and increased competition, leading to a revenue decline of 25.1% year-on-year [5][6] - Despite the current challenges, the company has potential growth drivers through new product launches and acquisitions, particularly in the overseas market [7][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 1H2025, the company's revenue from solution products and gel products was 740 million yuan and 490 million yuan, respectively, both showing declines of 23.8% and 24.0% year-on-year [5] - The gross margin for 1H2025 decreased by 1.5 percentage points to 93.4%, while the net profit margin fell by 6.9 percentage points to 60.8% [6] - The company’s expense ratio increased by 10.1 percentage points to 28.9% in 1H2025, driven by higher sales, management, and R&D expenses [6][7] Future Outlook - The company has launched a new product, "嗗科拉," aimed at high-net-worth individuals, and completed the acquisition of REGEN Biotech, which is expected to enhance its product matrix [7] - The company’s A-type botulinum toxin product, Hutox®, is awaiting approval, and a new weight management injection is in clinical trials, indicating a robust pipeline for future growth [7][9] - The report projects a downward revision of revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 2.703 billion yuan, 3.103 billion yuan, and 3.476 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 16%, 19%, and 21% respectively [8] Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 5.37 yuan, 6.01 yuan, and 6.69 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 34, 31, and 27 [8][10] - The report highlights the company's strong market position and potential for growth, maintaining a positive long-term outlook despite short-term challenges [9]