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赛轮轮胎(601058):系列点评六:业绩符合预期,全球化+液体黄金共振

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price based on a PE ratio of 10 for 2025 [7][5]. Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 is in line with expectations, with a forecasted net profit of 1.83 billion yuan, down 14.94% year-on-year. The decline is attributed to trade barriers and raw material costs [3][4]. - The company is steadily advancing its globalization strategy, with production capacity exceeding 70 million tires and ongoing projects in Vietnam and Cambodia [4][5]. - The introduction of the "Liquid Gold" tire technology enhances brand strength and addresses long-standing industry challenges, improving fuel efficiency and safety [5][4]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 36.54 billion, 41.85 billion, and 46.16 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.21 billion, 4.93 billion, and 5.76 billion yuan [6][10]. - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.28, 1.50, and 1.75 yuan, respectively, with PE ratios decreasing from 10 to 8 over the same period [6][10]. - The company anticipates a revenue growth rate of 14.9% in 2025, followed by 14.5% in 2026 and 10.3% in 2027 [6][10].