Yanjing Brewery(SZ:000729) Donghai Securities·2025-08-19 08:34Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating that the stock price is expected to outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by at least 15% over the next six months [9][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 85.58 billion yuan for H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.37%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.03 billion yuan, up 45.45% year-on-year, indicating strong financial performance [9]. - The beer business showed growth in both volume and price, with revenue from beer reaching 78.96 billion yuan, a 6.88% increase, driven primarily by price increases. The sales volume was 2.35 million kiloliters, up 2.03% [9]. - The company is focusing on product structure upgrades, with mid-to-high-end products accounting for 70.11% of revenue in H1 2025, up 1.57 percentage points year-on-year [9]. - The report highlights the company's ongoing transformation and improvement in profitability, with a gross margin of 45.50% in H1 2025, an increase of 2.14 percentage points [9]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 156.22 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.51%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 15.03 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 42.41% [8][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.53 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.87 [8][10]. - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for the following years, with projections of 18.07 billion yuan in 2026 and 21.11 billion yuan in 2027, corresponding to growth rates of 20.17% and 16.86%, respectively [9][10].