华菱钢铁（000932）：二季度归母净利润创近7个季度新高水平

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.748 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.31%, marking the highest level in nearly seven quarters [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of profits in the steel industry, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 increased by 74.10%, 62.89%, and 53.32% respectively [3] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 63.092 billion yuan, down 16.93% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.748 billion yuan, up 31.31% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 32.863 billion yuan, down 15.52% year-on-year but up 8.71% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 1.186 billion yuan, up 26.22% year-on-year and up 111.05% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company's sales volume for various products in H1 2025 showed declines, with long products, plates, and pipes down 18.69%, 9.81%, and 4.40% respectively [1] Product Development and Market Position - The automotive subsidiary reported a net profit of 0.925 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 18.38% year-on-year, contributing 40% to the company's total net profit [2] - The company achieved a market share of over 60% in the oriented silicon steel market, with sales volume reaching 475,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 38% [2] - The proportion of specialty steel sales reached 68.5% in H1 2025, an increase of 3.9 percentage points year-on-year, with 75 new products developed [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 4.012 billion yuan, 4.373 billion yuan, and 4.760 billion yuan respectively, with an expected increase in profit margins due to a shift towards higher-end product structures [3][4] - The report indicates a P/E ratio of 9 for 2025, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [4][14]